Following Keke Palmer ‘s win for playing the feisty sister in “Nope,” I researched how much my esteemed collages in NY agree with the Academy. What are the chances of their choice for Best Supporting Actress picking Up an Oscar nomination? Well, in the fifty-four years since Dyan Cannon first won in NY in 1969, 14 of their choices have failed to get a nomination beginning with Sissy Spacek’s snub for “Three Women” in 1977.

Only a 74% Chance of an Oscar Nomination.

Result: only a 74% concordance or a slightly greater than a one in four chance of Oscar snubbing the NYFCC choice.

Here is the list of the NYFCC choices for Best Supporting Actress who did NOT receive on Oscar nomination:

Sissy Spacek (Three Women 1977)

Mona Washbourne (Stevie1981) *

Vanessa Redgrave (Prick Up Your Ears 1987)

Diane Venora (Bird 1988)

Jennifer Jason Leigh (Last Exit to Brooklyn and Miami Blues 1990)

Judy Davis (Barton Fink and Naked Lunch 1991)

Gong Li (Farewell My Concubine 1993)

Courtney Love (The People vs Larry Flint 1996)

Lisa Kudrow (The Opposite of Sex 1998)

Patricia Clarkson (Far from Heaven 2002)

Maria Bello (A History of Violence 2005)

Kristen Stewart (Clouds of Sils Maria 2015)

Tiffany Haddish (Girls Trip 2017)

Kathryn Hunter (The Tragedy of Macbeth 2022)

*Released in LA in 1978.